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Treasury Buybacks Fuel Bitcoin Rally as US Debt Tops $40T

Treasury Buybacks Fuel Bitcoin Rally as US Debt Tops $40T

Murugaverl Mahasenan

Murugaverl Mahasenan

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Catenaa, Friday, August 28, 2026-Bitcoin climbed above $75,000 Friday as investors responded to an unusual US Treasury move to expand long-term government bond buybacks amid rising yields and federal debt exceeding $40 trillion.

The Treasury said Wednesday it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities in the 10-to-30-year maturity range.

The maximum will rise from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation beginning Sept. 9 and remain in effect through Nov. 4.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Thursday that purchases could be increased further if needed.

The announcement came after a sharp selloff in long-dated Treasurys pushed the 30-year yield near its highest level since 2007.

Bitcoin initially broke above $70,000 Thursday and extended the rally in Asian trading Friday.

Reuters reported bitcoin at about $75,306 early Friday, up 3.65% on the day and roughly 19% for the week. That would mark its strongest weekly advance in about 2 1/2 years.

Treasury described the larger operations as measures designed to improve liquidity in older, less actively traded long-term government securities.

The department said market participants had consistently submitted large volumes of high-quality offers during previous long-end buybacks.

Bessent later indicated the government could go beyond the newly announced level.

He said Treasury planned to increase the size of its buybacks and that individual operations could exceed $4 billion.

The intervention initially pushed long-term yields lower.

That reaction supported risk assets because falling bond yields can make non-yielding or higher-risk investments comparatively more attractive.

Bitcoin, ether and crypto-related equities all gained.

Reuters reported Coinbase shares rose about 6%, Strategy gained 4% and bitcoin mining equipment maker Canaan jumped more than 10% Thursday.

The Treasury move came as total US federal debt crossed $40 trillion for the first time.

Treasury figures showed total public debt outstanding at $40.047 trillion on Tuesday.

About $32.27 trillion was held by the public, while roughly $7.78 trillion represented intragovernmental holdings.

The milestone arrived less than five months after US debt passed $39 trillion.

Federal borrowing has more than doubled since January 2017.

Rising interest costs are adding pressure.

Reuters reported that debt-service expenses are approaching $1.1 trillion and have become the federal government’s second-largest spending category this fiscal year after Social Security.

The July federal budget deficit reached $432 billion, bringing the fiscal 2026 deficit through July to about $1.8 trillion.

That already exceeds the deficit recorded for all of fiscal 2025, with two months remaining in the current fiscal year.

Some cryptocurrency analysts interpreted the Treasury announcement as reinforcing bitcoin’s appeal as an asset outside the government debt system.

Standard Chartered digital assets researcher Geoffrey Kendrick maintained his $100,000 year-end bitcoin target and argued that the Treasury move strengthened the investment case for bitcoin.

Kendrick said the asset was designed to offer investors an alternative to centralized monetary and financial intervention.

The rally also followed months of unusually narrow bitcoin trading.

That positioning appears to have amplified the move as traders betting against bitcoin were forced to close short positions.

Reuters said analysts attributed part of Thursday’s rally to short covering following weeks of compressed trading.

Bitcoin’s advance extended Friday even as the initial improvement in the Treasury market faded.

The 30-year yield was back near 5.25%, while the 10-year yield stood around 4.70%, Reuters reported.

That divergence suggests investors may be responding not only to lower yields but also to broader concerns over US fiscal policy and the dollar.

Gold also rose more than 3% for the week as investors sought alternative stores of value.

Some crypto commentators described the Treasury action as the government “printing money” to purchase its own debt.

That description is inaccurate.

Treasury buybacks are not the same as quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve.

The Treasury Department cannot create dollars in the manner of a central bank.

Its buyback authority allows it to use money from the Treasury general fund or proceeds from issuing other government obligations to repurchase outstanding securities.

Treasury says liquidity-support buybacks are intended primarily to improve trading conditions in older, less liquid Treasury securities.

They can involve retiring older bonds while the government continues issuing other debt.

The operation therefore changes the composition and liquidity of government borrowing rather than directly expanding the monetary base.

That distinction matters when assessing the bullish bitcoin narrative surrounding the announcement.

The market impact may resemble monetary easing because larger buybacks can temporarily push bond prices higher and yields lower.

But the mechanism is fundamentally different from Federal Reserve asset purchases financed through central bank reserve creation.

The Treasury intervention has also faced skepticism in traditional markets.

Initial declines in long-term yields largely reversed by Thursday and Friday.

Investors remained concerned that the fundamental problem was the size of US deficits rather than insufficient liquidity in individual Treasury securities.

Goldman Sachs strategists said the underlying stress increasingly appeared fiscal rather than technical, Reuters reported Friday.

The dollar was heading for a roughly 0.9% weekly decline and traded near a three-month low against a basket of major currencies.

Some investors interpreted the expanded buybacks as another reason to diversify from dollar-denominated assets.

Treasury itself says its standard liquidity-support program is not intended to deal with episodes of acute market stress.

That leaves an open question over how far Bessent is prepared to expand the program if long-term yields continue climbing.

Bitcoin’s rally also received support from Washington’s changing regulatory stance.

At a White House gathering Wednesday, President Donald Trump urged Congress to pass what he called a fair version of the Clarity Act.

The legislation would clarify whether digital assets fall under securities or commodities regulation and divide oversight responsibilities between the SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Trump’s comments added another policy tailwind immediately after the Treasury buyback announcement.

However, the bill remains stalled in the Senate amid disputes over ethics provisions and rules governing political officials with financial interests in cryptocurrency businesses.

The combination of fiscal concerns, Treasury market intervention and a friendlier US crypto policy has nevertheless changed bitcoin’s near-term market narrative.

Bitcoin remains far below its October 2025 record and is still down for 2026.

But its jump from the low-$60,000 range to above $75,000 within days shows how quickly liquidity expectations can alter sentiment.

Whether that develops into the $100,000 move anticipated by Standard Chartered will depend on more than Treasury buybacks.

The durability of the rally will also depend on bond yields, federal fiscal policy, monetary conditions and whether investors continue viewing bitcoin as protection against weakening confidence in government debt and currencies.